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FPL Gameweek 17 Differentials

Return of FPL! In Gameweek 17, we examine some of the top differentials.

FPL managers can greatly benefit from looking at the best differentials from Gameweek 17 in their pursuit of achieving their objectives. Differentials can be important for anyone trying to rank higher or beat their rivals.

 

Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m, Man United) vs. Nottingham Forest (H)

Bruno Fernandes (£9.8m) was similarly important against Burnley in the Carabao Cup midweek following a strong World Cup performance.

In the first 16 Gameweeks, Fernandes has two goals and two assists, which aren’t as stunning as they were when he initially joined the team. However, Cristiano Ronaldo’s departure and a string of favorable opponents may allow him to influence over the holiday season, particularly if he reclaims his penalty-taking duties.

It’s also important to note that Fernandes has produced fewer “big opportunities” this year than only Kevin De Bruyne.

Man Utd’s first three games following their break are against Nottingham Forest, Wolverhampton Wanderers, and Bournemouth, all of whom are in the bottom eight in the league for shots allowed in 2022–23.

Kaoru Mitoma (£4.9m, Brighton) vs. Southampton (A)

Mitoma has only made two starts for Brighton in the league thus far. But in the few time he has been on the pitch; he has made a huge impression.

He had an offensive return in both league starts (1 G, 1A). He has played 309 minutes and has a total of 1 goal and 2 assists. He also performed admirably against Arsenal in the Carabao Cup.

Southampton, Brighton’s opponents, have the fourth-worst percentage of opportunities allowed down the right side of their defense in the league.

Only two of his colleagues have generated more big opportunities, but they have played three times as many minutes as Mitoma, who has only played 309 minutes.

Among his countrymen, Mitoma leads in terms of huge chances created per 90, crucial passes per 90, BPS per 90, and xA per 90.

 

Callum Wilson (£7.4m, Newcastle) vs. Leicester City (A)

Callum Wilson had been one of the league’s most in-form players until seeing little action in GWs 15 and 16. Between GW9 and GW14, he scored four goals and provided three assists in six games. Included in this was the enormous 19-point outburst against Aston Villa.

Only Erling Haaland and Ivan Toney have a better record for big chances per 90 than he does. Additionally, he is fifth in the league for box shots per 90.

The Newcastle attacker has a career total of 4 goals and 2 assists versus Leicester. Four of Newcastle’s seven upcoming games have an FDR rating of 2.

Following Leicester, the Magpies play Leeds and Fulham, followed by an encounter with Arsenal.

Eberechi Eze (£5.7m, Crystal Palace) vs Fulham (H)

Despite their recent inconsistency, Crystal Palace has demonstrated the capacity to win games and score goals. They scored two or more goals in over a third of their games, including two against Manchester City.

In Gameweek 17, Fulham will play Crystal Palace. Despite having a formidable offense, the freshly promoted team has been giving up some odd statistics.

Fulham ranks last for significant chances given up, second last for shots on target, and fourth worst for goals this season among all clubs in the league.

Eberechi Eze has demonstrated his FPL return ability. The midfielder has had five returns this year, including two ten-return hauls. Eze is worth £5.7m, which might save money for other areas of our fantasy teams.

 

Luke Shaw (£4.8m, Man United) vs. Nottingham Forest (H)

Luke Shaw, who had a rough start to the season, has developed into a crucial member of the Manchester United team under Erik Ten Hag. United has the fourth-best NPxGA record in the league since Shaw returned to the starting lineup in GW10.

Trippier and Alexander Arnold are the only defenders to have produced more big opportunities since GW10 than Shaw’s three. Only Castagne and Trippier have had more BPS than the United left defender throughout that period.

Manchester United will play Wolves and Bournemouth in their next two games after facing Forest this week. These three are the bottom three, according to the xG chart. As a result, Manchester United has a good chance of keeping three clean sheets!

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